With Iran threatening to “build a nuclear bomb”, Israel a “military response” and the region waiting, the pace of events between the two sides escalated in a matter of days, while experts spoke to Al-Hura website. Scenarios for the expected escalation of tension between the two sides.
It began with former Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kharazi asserting on Sunday that his country has the “technical capability” to build a nuclear bomb, but he reiterated Tehran’s official position that there is no decision to do so.
Kharazi, who is one of the high-ranking leaders of Iran, Ali Khamenei, added in an interview with Al Jazeera: “Within a few days, we increased the uranium enrichment from 20% to 60%, and it can easily be increased to 90%.” According to “France Presse”, which is the enrichment rate that can be used for military use.
Threatening neighboring countries and Israel, he said: Any targeting of our security by neighboring countries will be met with a direct response to these countries and Israel.
After these statements, Mohammad Javad Larijani, a former Iranian diplomat and former assistant to the judiciary, said: If Iran decides to build nuclear weapons, no one can stop it.
He added: “Iran’s nuclear force will not be destroyed by bombing.”
For his part, Aviv Kohavi, the Chief of Staff of the Israeli army, on Sunday, referring to the “possibility of dealing with Iran’s nuclear threat,” announced that “Israel is preparing the domestic front for war.”
According to “Haaretz” newspaper, he emphasized that the Israeli army is strongly preparing to attack Iran, and stressed the need to prepare for any “development and any scenario”.
The Chief of General Staff of the Zionist Army said: “The military option against Iran’s nuclear program is the core of national security and at the heart of the Israeli army’s preparations.”
Aviv Kochavi mentioned “various operational plans, allocation of abundant resources, access to weapons, information and appropriate training” to confront Tehran.
These statements were raised to raise questions about the possibility of a “direct military confrontation between Iran and Israel”.
According to this researcher, these mutual threats indicate the “possibility of escalation of tension between Israel and Iran in the coming period at all levels”, especially after the failure of the negotiations related to the revival of the Iran nuclear agreement and the prolongation of the negotiations. In the Arab forum for the analysis of Iranian politics, Mohammad Khairi.
In an interview with Hurrah, Khairi pointed out that Tehran has made great progress in developing and enriching large amounts of uranium, and added: Israel believes that military confrontation is the best behavior to deal with Iran’s nuclear case and the threat against Iran. Tehran’s agents to it.
From a strategic perspective, “Israel cannot engage in an open, all-out war with Iran,” as it may be fighting on more than one front, as Hamas or Hezbollah may attack it with missiles that threaten Israel’s infrastructure. According to Khairy, Israel is trying to avoid that.
Jassim Mohammad, the head of the European Studies and Intelligence Center in Berlin, also underestimated the mutual threats and said: We have been used to these Iranian statements about Tehran’s ability to build nuclear weapons for years. Israel threatens to carry out direct military operations against Tehran.
In a conversation with Al-Hura website, he questioned “Iran’s ability to build nuclear weapons” and considered it just an “Iranian propaganda campaign”.
Jassim Mohammad rejected the “scenario of war in the near future” regarding what he called “a conflict between Israel and Iran without a large-scale and direct military confrontation between the two sides.”
In the past period, the pace of operations attributed to Israel inside Iran, including the assassination of senior IRGC leaders, increased after those attacks were limited to targeting the nuclear program.
Earlier, Naftali Bennett, the alternative prime minister of Israel, announced that his country is adopting the “octopus head” plan to deal with Tehran.
Referring to the “qualitative change in the nature of the military confrontation between the two sides”, Khairi believes that “Iran and Israel are highly skilled in confrontations outside the geographical boundaries of the two countries”.
Khairy spoke of the “assassination of Iranian scientists, leaders of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in broad daylight in the heart of Iran’s capital, Tehran.”
Jassim Mohammad also agreed with him and he noted that “Israel has targeted Iranian weapons in Syria, Lebanon and other countries” as well as “the development of cyber wars between the two sides”.
At the same time, according to Jassim Mohammad, “Iran uses its militias to threaten and target Israeli interests outside of Israel.”
These facts raise a new question. Will the confrontation between the two sides become a “proxy war” outside the borders of Iran and Israel?
Khairy agrees with this statement that he expects “Iran will resort to using its proxy forces to avoid direct confrontation with Israel and to distance the effects of that war from inside Iran.”
Khairy explained that “Iran always resorts to this strategy by using the method of indirect war with its opponents” and Jassim Mohammad also agrees with him and confirms that “Iran will use its militias and military weapons in the confrontation with Israel, without To enter, he makes a bet. direct confrontation” with the aim of transferring confrontations outside its territory.
In their conversation, Mohammad and Khairi warn about the consequences of this proxy war, which negatively affects the security and stability of the entire Middle East region, threatens “international peace and security” and increases the risk of growth. Terrorism and armed militias in the region”.
Source: Lebanon Debate
