Trump campaigned in Pennsylvania and now leads the largest swing state, enough of a swing to win the election. Still, the margins of advantage for both sides are small.
With exactly two weeks left before Americans go to the polls, polls show a reversal of the electoral trends of the last three months. Democrat Kamala Harris still leads by 1.9 percentage points in the national total, but the race in the swing states is now led by Republican Donald Trump.
The former president leads the polls in the states of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona, while the victory is attributed to the vice president in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, according to data from the FiveThirtyEight project, which collects average cross-country polls. If these results are translated into votes, Trump will get 281 delegates to the Electoral College (270 needed to win) and a new four-year ticket to the White House.
In Pennsylvania, the Republican has 47.8% of voting intentions, a figure Short difference of 0.3 percentage points for Harriswhich has remained ahead of the polls since early August, a few days after Joe Biden withdrew from the presidential race. The reversal of the results occurred this weekend, at the same time that Donald Trump was at a campaign event in Philadelphia. Among the swing states, which vote both red and blue, Pennsylvania has the greatest weight in the Electoral College, with 19 delegates.
She put on her apron and fried potatoes. Donald Trump “worked” at McDonalds during campaign action
Despite having lost Pennsylvania, Harris continues to lead in Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevadaalthough with very short margins. In Wisconsin, where he had a lead of 3.8 points, he only leads by 0.5 and in Michigan, where his lead reached 3.4 points, he has just 0.3 percentage points over Trump, the same value he maintains in Snowfall. In this state, on the other side of the country, the the race is still closewith the two candidates alternating in the leadership, but without managing to take off from their opponent.
[Já saiu o quarto episódio de “A Grande Provocadora”, o novo podcast Plus do Observador que conta a história de Vera Lagoa, a mulher que afrontou Salazar, desafiou os militares de Abril e ridicularizou os que se achavam donos do país. Pode ouvir aqui, no Observador, e também na Apple Podcasts e no Spotify. E pode ouvir aqui o primeiro episódio, aqui o segundo e aqui o terceiro.]
Two other states where voting intentions remain close are North Carolina and Arizona. In the first, Trump now leads with 48.1% of voter responses and 0.8 points over Harris, an advantage he obtained at the beginning of October and that he has managed to maintain. In Arizona he has 48.6% of the voting intention and an advantage of 1.9 percentage points. In this state, Trump managed to unseat Harris in mid-September and has been gaining ground since then.
In Georgia, 48.5% of respondents revealed a preference for Donald Trump, a difference of 1.5 points for Kamala Harris. During this weekend, the advantage even reached two percentage points.
Democratic Convention projects Kamala Harris in polls, increasing lead over Donald Trump
Kamala Harris spent the summer consolidating leads in the polls following President Biden’s withdrawal, even in the face of repeated claims from Republicans that it was a “honeymoon” and this advantage was about to come to an end; The current results seem to prove them right.. Although the majority of citizens continue to prefer the vice president, the design of the North American electoral system allows Trump’s victory in the decisive states to be enough to reach the White House again, exactly as happened in 2016.
Source: Observadora
