Due to the continuation of the war between Russia and Ukraine, which has been going on for about 7 and a half months, the drumbeat of nuclear war and warnings about its dangers from various leaders of major countries are increasing.
US President Joe Biden, in his latest statements focusing on the herald of the world nuclear war, said: Vladimir Putin is not joking about the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, and these threats put humanity at risk of the end of the world for the first time. to give “
He added: “Since the recession and the Cuban Missile Crisis, we have not faced the prospect of Armageddon (the end of the world).
Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Friday that Washington was trying to “scare” the international community about Russia’s positions, stressing that his country’s position on nuclear deterrence had not changed and that Russia’s nuclear doctrine it depends.
Hassan Al Momani, a military expert and master of conflict resolution, said in an interview with Sky News Arabic: The recent developments in the Ukraine conflict in the operation scene especially show that Russia is at a crossroads. Because it presents itself as a superpower that has not yet been able to resolve a war with a country, and based on the criteria of power, especially military, it is of the third or fourth degree.
He added: “Therefore, the Russian leadership now adopts the concept of de-escalation for calm, which means that in order to achieve a solution to the crisis, the pace of the conflict must be increased. Moscow has almost exhausted its option. The arsenal of weapons Conventional in deploying and using them in the war in Ukraine itself and this means that the remaining escalation card is in the hands of the Russians, by brandishing nuclear weapons, especially tactical ones, with a limited effect, but it will cause. They will be used to restore Russia’s balance on the ground, a fundamental difference.”
And this military expert continues: In his recent words, Putin was quite clear that Russia will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons if the existence of his country and its territorial integrity are threatened, and he emphasized that he is completely serious about this nuclear threat. which is a real threat and the Russians have the necessary materials to implement it and the ability to translate it.” Based on all military calculations.
Momani says: If Russia uses tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, it will put a heavy burden on the shoulders of the United States, which presents itself as a leading power in the world, and will make it a priority for very difficult and sensitive choices.
He added: Undoubtedly, the use of nuclear weapons in this conflict will be an earthquake in the scene of international relations and its balances, and it will be a military turning point in the course of the war in Ukraine, which may cause encouragement. “Other nuclear powers around the world are moving forward in deploying their nuclear weapons in an effort to expand their influence.” and protect their interests.
“Given Russia’s military deadlock in the Ukrainian arena against the impact of Western weapons flowing into Kyiv, Moscow’s use of tactical nuclear weapons may be inevitable unless there are diplomatic breakthroughs and last-minute deals, and as a result . “Putin, through the nuclear card, is looking to put pressure on Kyiv to contain it.” And with the increasing security concerns of Europe and the fear of nuclear war, to try to divide the Western Front on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean.
For his part, Amer Al-Sabaeleh, a strategic expert and researcher at the American Stimson Research Institute, says: There is no doubt that the current exaggeration in talking about nuclear war takes it from the circle of prohibitions to the circle of permission. And so much of the talk about the use of nuclear weapons is framed in an attempt to formulate a psychological climate in which the occurrence of a nuclear conflict is a possible and possible issue that should be treated as a possibility. , when in the first place it was a topic close to taboo and outside the scope of discussion.
The strategist continues: In this context, Washington seeks to consolidate the image it wants to project about Russian President Putin, which revolves around the idea that he is a disturbed figure who threatens the safety and security of the world. . is not reliable.”
Source: Lebanon Debate
