Sino-US relations are moving in a direction where tensions are accelerating or easing, but over the years, and especially since the United States realized China’s global influence, President Xi Jinping’s expansionist and “royal” policies He is relevant, never diminished. Dealing with institutions in China is a threat to the future of this country and perhaps the world.
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, in his book “Avoidable War, the Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the United States and China led by Xi Jinping,” outlines scenarios that the author believes are necessary to survive in the world. The dangers of such a conflict
An analysis published in National Interest says that the book’s significance lies in the fact that its author has extensive, deep and close ties to Beijing and Washington, and is neither American nor Chinese, and is aware of this. His position, from the secrets and behind the scenes, and the potential dangers, is greater than that of any ordinary researcher.
The author begins with a serious warning that “the worldview of China and the United States is leading the two countries to war.”
Rad proposes guidelines for managing tensions, which he calls “managed strategic competition,” in which Beijing and Washington seek mutual understanding and road rules that allow them to avoid their own inevitable strategic competition. To keep within the limits and at the same time to maximize the opportunities for cooperation. Clearly serves the interests of both countries.
But Rad, according to the magazine article, admits that this will be very difficult due to the “lack of mutual understanding” and “almost loss of trust” between the United States and China.
He is also aware of the two countries’ domestic political constraints, which make it dangerous for leaders on both sides to call for restraint or something like compromise or appeasement.
However, Rad says alternatives – including the current course of events – run the risk of disaster.
While urging the United States to put aside “unwarranted fear and excessive strategic anxiety” about China, the author also explains what he believes Xi Jinping’s worldview is organized as the “10 Centers of Interest” Gives.
It begins with the Chinese Communist Party’s main priority: staying in power and in control, and expands on the Chinese Communist Party’s internal efforts for economic and social stability, border security and territorial integrity, and its external efforts for regional, global influence, influence and security. Finds.
The author says that the most recurring theme in US-China relations is Beijing, which competes with Washington for almost all of China’s needs and priorities.
This is because Chinese leaders see the US humiliation of the Chinese Communist Party and what they interpret as Washington’s goal of regime change in Beijing as the greatest threat to China’s internal stability.
Likewise, they see US policy to contain China in the region and prevent it from gaining power and influence globally as China’s main external challenge.
Rad outlines the object strategy to counter this perceived threat, which focuses on consolidating the internal power of the Chinese Communist Party at home, while pursuing more aggressive and assertive policies abroad than against the United States. The United States will score points and maximize China’s global position and influence.
Far from debating whether the author has given the object character more “influence than it really is” on the Chinese government’s overall policies, the author argues that there is an important strategic issue on which the object’s personal inclinations can have a decisive influence. And that is Taiwan.
And US President Joe Biden said on Monday that the United States would intervene militarily if China invaded Taiwan during the economic framework for Asia-Pacific and the United States. send.
“Shi seems to be trying to secure Taiwan during her political career,” Rad said.
In particular, Rad speculates that Shi may want Beijing to have the military capacity to occupy Taiwan, or at least have “sufficient military advantage over the United States” to push for a political settlement with Taipei.
He says Beijing seeks to reduce US power and increase China’s power in the global system.
Likewise, Beijing “challenges the political legitimacy and effectiveness of Western liberal-democratic model politics” and seeks “a system in the future that is more compatible with authoritarian political regimes” and “more suited to its interests.” [الصين] “Political, ideological and economic.”
The analysis concludes that “in the world of ideas, systems and government, people want the best team to win” and adds that “the world of liberal-democratic capitalism” must feel confident, because these are two great dangers for the United States. That America will fail. Its self-confidence, or that either side assumes that “winning” necessarily requires the other side to lose.
Source: Lebanon Debate
